- The DTC Letters
- Posts
- Your pop-up is costing you $111,000 a month...
Your pop-up is costing you $111,000 a month...
Here's what I found after auditing 100+ accounts.
Hey, Michael from AdSumo Digital here.
Most brands celebrate a 4-5% pop-up conversion rate.
They think, "Hey, that's not bad. Industry average is 3%, so we're doing great!"
But you're actually leaving 80% of potential revenue on the table.
After auditing hundreds of e-commerce brands, I've seen pop-up conversion rates as high as 33.7%. Not through tricks or gimmicks, through strategic psychology and proper execution.
Let me show you what's possible.
The Pop-Up Misconception
Most brands think about pop-ups all wrong.
They see it as: "How do I get an email address?"
The real question is: "How do I start a relationship that leads to a purchase?"
Your pop-up isn't just list growth. It's the first touchpoint in your entire retention system. Get it wrong here, and everything downstream suffers.
The Four Factors That Make or Break Your Pop-Up
After analyzing what separates 5% pop-ups from 30%+ pop-ups, it comes down to four things:
1. The Offer
This is the intersection of profitability and conversion. Most brands either:
Offer too little (5% off - who cares?)
Offer too much (25% off - killing margins)
The sweet spot? It depends on your brand archetype.
High AOV brands: Fixed dollar amounts work better ($50 off $500+)
Low AOV brands: Percentage discounts or free gifts
Mid AOV brands: Mix between the two and test
2. The Sequence
This is where most brands fail. They ask for the email immediately.
Better approach: Micro-commitment first.
Ask a question: "What are you shopping for?"
Tops
Bottoms
Accessories
Then ask for the email. Then SMS.
This simple change can increase conversion rates by 20%+ because:
It's a pattern interrupt
It creates engagement before the ask
It gives you data to personalize the welcome flow
3. The Design
Your offer should dominate the visual hierarchy.
Most pop-ups look like this:
Tiny discount code
Giant brand story
Buried CTA button
Winning pop-ups look like this:
Massive "20% OFF" headline
Clear, simple offer explanation
Obvious email input field
Prominent CTA button
4. The Timing
Don't jar visitors with an instant pop-up. Add a 3-5 second delay so they can orient themselves first.
The Offer Optimization Strategy
Here's something most brands don't think about:
Your pop-up offer should decrease over time as you optimize your flows.
Why? Because if your welcome series is converting at 15%, you don't need to give away 20% to get people on the list.
The goal: Find the minimum viable offer that still converts at a high rate.
Example progression:
Month 1: 20% off (testing baseline)
Month 3: 15% off (if flows are strong)
Month 6: Free shipping + 10% off
Month 12: Free gift with purchase (lowest margin hit)
Of course, this is only if the conversion rate of the welcome flow is maintaining.
Which requires a lot of testing and a lot of optimization and a lot of time in the account, which most brands just simply don't have. Which is why agencies like mine exist.
The Personalization Multiplier
Once someone clicks their interest on your pop-up, you have gold.
Most brands waste it.
They send the same generic welcome series to everyone.
Smart brands use it:
If someone clicked "Tops," their welcome flow shows:
Email 1: Top bestsellers with discount
Email 2: How to style our tops
Email 3: Customer reviews on tops
Email 4: Complete the outfit (bottoms that pair well)
This level of personalization can double your welcome series conversion rate.
While, of course, putting your offer in each one of these emails, mixing in content and offers and direct sales and heavy direct response, and then brand-styled content and potentially increased incentives later on in the flow are all things that should be tested.
The Tools That Actually Work
After testing dozens of pop-up tools, here's what I recommend:
For most brands: Alia
Best conversion rates we've seen
Zero-party data collection
Seamless Klaviyo integration
Worth every penny
For budget-conscious brands: Klaviyo native forms
Free with your ESP
Basic but functional
Good starting point
Avoid: Everything else tbh
Optimonk is mehhh, gets the job done
The Welcome Series Connection
Your pop-up is only as good as what happens next.
A 30% pop-up conversion rate means nothing if your welcome series converts at 2%.
This is why we always build pop-ups and welcome flows together:
Pop-up collects: Behavioral intent
Welcome flow delivers: Personalized journey based on that intent
The result: 3-5x higher conversion rates than generic approaches.
The Math That Matters
Let's say you get 100,000 monthly visitors:
Scenario A (Generic 5% pop-up):
5000 email signups
3% welcome series conversion
150 new customers
$60 AOV
$9000 in revenue
Scenario B (Optimized 15% pop-up with personalized flows):
15,000 email signups
10% welcome series conversion
1500 new customers
$80 AOV (better offers/bundles)
$120,000 in revenue
Same traffic. 13x the revenue.
$111,000 MORE IN SALES
Your Action Plan
Audit your current pop-up (conversion rate, offer, design)
Test micro-commitment questions (collect behavioral data)
Optimize your offer (find the sweet spot for your archetype)
Improve visual hierarchy (make the offer impossible to miss)
Connect to welcome flows (personalize based on pop-up data)
The Reality of The Situation
If your pop-up is converting under 7%, you have a problem.
Not a "nice to fix someday" problem. A "losing thousands per month" problem.
The good news? This is one of the easiest things to fix in your entire retention system.
Want to see how this connects to your entire welcome series strategy?
I break down the complete system - from pop-up to final conversion - in my latest YouTube video.
[Watch: Complete Email Marketing Welcome Flow Guide →]
You'll see exactly how to build pop-ups that feed high-converting welcome flows.
If you want a custom audit and a 90-day sprint to build your backend system (done for you, no strings attached), book a call here.
Talk soon,
Michael
Today’s Helpful Links
Are You Liking The DTC Letters So Far?Be honest...no gaslighting |